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June 2013


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21. Jun
2012

USDJPY potential basing and upside.

Posted by: stevengoldstein

Following on from yesterday’s post (see here) with regard to risk of a summer rally for equities, the USDJPY is also showing some signs of basing and may offer a potentially cheap risk/reward set-up.
  • The chart below shows USDJPY daily.
  • The features which stand out to me are:
  • The breaking of the downtrend of the past 3 months.
  • The test of the downtrend last week, which successfully held.
  • The basing pattern of the past 4 weeks, which appears to be an Inverted Head & Shoulders.
  • The breaking (though intraday only thus far) of the Neckline of this inverted  H&S.
  • The solid break (though still only intraday) of the 34 day simple moving average.
  • Supporting this is a similar matching break in the downward trend in momentum, which is starting to trend higher.  
Currently there is a favourable target cluster above in the 81.69-82.05. Which would suggest there may be around 200+ points in this move if it can gather some steam?

79.79(last week’s high) and the round number at 80.00 may prove tough hurdles, and if not clearly broken could act to dent any progress.  Support for the upside call should remain as long as this holds over 78.60 in the next few days.  – I think if this can start breaking higher, and gaining some momentum, then the current area should revert to support. 

20. Jun
2012

Sell in May and go away – Except in year with an Election day!

Posted by: stevengoldstein

Has sentiment turned? – Is Risk-off off? And is Risk-on on? - These are some of the question people are asking after some fraught and fractious weeks in the markets. However some semblance of normality seems to be returning to markets. - It may be perhaps still too early to say whether this is the start of another rally, or merely a correction in a new downtrend, however, isn’t that always the case: Last October and last November felt the same, as did September 2010.   (Reproduced from Trader,Trading & Risk Psychology Blog)
11. Jun
2012

The 'Self-Factors' of Successful traders.

Posted by: stevengoldstein

Tagged in: Basics

"Self-reverence, self-knowledge, self-control - these three alone lead to power" - Alfred, Lord Tennyson. - I am using this week’s ‘quote of the week’ to emphasise the importance of what I call the 'self-factors' in trading.

 

07. Jun
2012

Profitably and consistently navigating the fluid financial market dynamics - A hedge fund perspective.

Posted by: stevengoldstein

To the naked eye it’s virtually impossible to see financial market dynamics as they change before us. In fact, many traders miss these events completely and are therefore unable to react at all. At best, they tend to adapt their styles after the event.

06. Jun
2012

USD Index - At a very interesting juncture, both short-term and long-term.

Posted by: stevengoldstein

The USD has made big gains over the past few weeks and appears as though it may be setting itself up for some further major gains in the longer time-frame against many of the major currency partners. However shorter-term it faces some key pivotal areas which threaten to check its immediate progress.

30. May
2012

'Hedge Fund Market Wizards - How Winning Traders Win' - Interview with Jack Schwager author of the Market Wizard's books.

Posted by: stevengoldstein

Tagged in: Basics

Interview by Steven Goldstein: - This week sees the publication of ‘Hedge Fund Market Wizards - How Winning Traders Win’, the long-awaited addition to the brilliant and hugely influential 'Market Wizards' series of books written by Jack Schwager. There are few traders around today who have not read or are not familiar with the 'Market Wizards' series in which Schwager carries out in-depth interviews with some of the world's top traders.